Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ajla TomljanovicOpen full analysisIva JovicOpen full analysis

AustinhardR16Thursday, February 26, 2026
No-vig market probability
Tomljanovic 22%78% Jovic
4.28Recorded odds1.21
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ajla TomljanovicVSIva Jovic
4Set 16
6Set 24
6Set 34

Ajla Tomljanovic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ajla TomljanovicIva Jovic
24%
Career Win %
68%
29%
Win % on Hard
70%
60%
Holds Serve
70%
25%
Breaks Serve
40%
60%
1st Serve In
60%
61%
1st Serve Won
63%
39%
Return Pts Won
46%
2.0
Aces / match
2.2
67%
Tiebreak %
50%
29%
Deciding-set %
57%
1464
Rating
1655
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ajla Tomljanovic85 serves
Where they place their serve
Iva Jovic98 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
12%Body
20%T
21%T
12%Body
15%Wide
22%Wide
26%Body
3%T
17%T
16%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T21%
Top targetDeuce · Body26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Iva Jovic 4–6, 6–4, 6–4 in the round of 16 at the WTA 250 event in Austin on hard court on 26 February 2026, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Despite losing the opening set, Tomljanovic recovered to claim the next two frames and advance through the draw. The result represents a notable reversal of the pre-match odds, which had favoured Jovic at 1.21 to Tomljanovic's 4.28, suggesting the latter mounted a comeback performance to overturn expectations. Tomljanovic's victory positions her favourably in the tournament and demonstrates resilience in converting a deficit into a winning position.