Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOpen full analysisAlex De MinaurOpen full analysis

WashingtonhardFSunday, July 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Fokina 32%68% Minaur
3.00Recorded odds1.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaVSAlex De Minaur
7Set 15
1Set 26
6Set 37

Alex De Minaur won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlex De Minaur
36%
Career Win %
52%
34%
Win % on Hard
58%
72%
Holds Serve
79%
21%
Breaks Serve
24%
67%
1st Serve In
58%
64%
1st Serve Won
70%
37%
Return Pts Won
39%
3.1
Aces / match
3.5
42%
Tiebreak %
49%
50%
Deciding-set %
49%
1529
Rating
1688
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina108 serves
Where they place their serve
Alex De Minaur113 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
12%Body
18%T
19%T
18%Body
11%Wide
12%Wide
11%Body
29%T
19%T
16%Body
12%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · T29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alex De Minaur defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 5–7, 6–1, 7–6 in the final of the ATP 250 Washington tournament on hard court. De Minaur, the pre-match favourite at 1.44 odds, recovered from losing the opening set to dominate the second and edge a competitive third-set tiebreak. Fokina, the outsider at 3.0 odds, had taken the first set but could not maintain that level as De Minaur's consistency and court control asserted themselves. The Australian's victory adds a significant title to his 2025 season, whilst Fokina's runner-up finish shows promise despite the defeat.