Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaOpen full analysisJoao FonsecaOpen full analysis

BaselhardFSunday, October 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Fokina 47%53% Fonseca
2.00Recorded odds1.80
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaVSJoao Fonseca
3Set 16
4Set 26

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alejandro Davidovich FokinaJoao Fonseca
36%
Career Win %
59%
34%
Win % on Hard
60%
72%
Holds Serve
84%
21%
Breaks Serve
20%
67%
1st Serve In
66%
64%
1st Serve Won
71%
37%
Return Pts Won
36%
3.1
Aces / match
5.5
42%
Tiebreak %
53%
50%
Deciding-set %
44%
1529
Rating
1601
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina69 serves
Where they place their serve
Joao Fonseca61 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
4%Body
23%T
22%T
10%Body
17%Wide
20%Wide
5%Body
28%T
21%T
10%Body
16%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6–3, 6–4 in the final of the ATP 250 Basel tournament on hard court. As the pre-match favourite at 1.8 odds, Fonseca delivered the expected result, controlling proceedings throughout to claim his maiden ATP 250 title. Davidovich Fokina, entering at 2.0 odds, struggled to impose his game against Fonseca's composed baseline play and consistent serving. The Portuguese teenager's clinical performance in both sets underlined his rapid ascent in professional tennis and marks a significant milestone in his emerging career trajectory.