Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alejandro TabiloOpen full analysisDaniil MedvedevOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR64Sunday, March 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Tabilo 25%75% Medvedev
3.83Recorded odds1.25
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alejandro TabiloVSDaniil Medvedev
4Set 16
2Set 26

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alejandro TabiloDaniil Medvedev
57%
Career Win %
69%
40%
Win % on Hard
70%
81%
Holds Serve
85%
17%
Breaks Serve
25%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
72%
1st Serve Won
75%
35%
Return Pts Won
39%
5.9
Aces / match
8.4
50%
Tiebreak %
52%
70%
Deciding-set %
56%
1590
Rating
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alejandro Tabilo57 serves
Where they place their serve
Daniil Medvedev51 serves
Where they place their serve
33%Wide
2%Body
16%T
21%T
2%Body
26%Wide
37%Wide
4%Body
12%T
31%T
2%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
Top targetDeuce · Wide37%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court on 8 March 2026. As the clear pre-match favourite with odds of 1.25 to Tabilo's 3.83, Medvedev delivered an expected performance, controlling the match with a convincing two-set victory. The Russian's superior court positioning and consistency proved too much for Tabilo, who struggled to generate sustained pressure in either set. Medvedev's dominant display underscores his continued form at the Masters 1000 level as he advances deeper into the tournament.