Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aleksandar KovacevicOpen full analysisAndrey RublevOpen full analysis

MontpellierhardSFSaturday, February 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kovacevic 25%75% Rublev
3.94Recorded odds1.30
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aleksandar KovacevicVSAndrey Rublev
7Set 15
6Set 24

Aleksandar Kovacevic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aleksandar KovacevicAndrey Rublev
61%
Career Win %
60%
65%
Win % on Hard
61%
85%
Holds Serve
85%
12%
Breaks Serve
21%
57%
1st Serve In
63%
78%
1st Serve Won
76%
32%
Return Pts Won
37%
9.6
Aces / match
7.4
73%
Tiebreak %
44%
50%
Deciding-set %
57%
1577
Rating
1642
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aleksandar Kovacevic77 serves
Where they place their serve
Andrey Rublev55 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
0%Body
31%T
21%T
4%Body
25%Wide
16%Wide
0%Body
38%T
18%T
2%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · T38%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Andrey Rublev 7–5, 6–4 in the semi-final of the ATP 250 Montpellier on hard court on 1 February 2025, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rublev entered as the strong favourite at 1.30 odds, while Kovacevic was priced at 3.94, yet the American controlled both sets to secure his place in the final. Kovacevic's composed performance across the two sets demonstrates improved consistency at tour level, whilst Rublev's failure to convert his favoured status marks a rare stumble at the Montpellier event. The result represents a notable scalp for Kovacevic and advances him to the final, where he will face the winner of the other semi-final.