Indian Wells MastershardR128Thursday, March 5, 2026
No-vig market probability
Kovacevic 33%67% Hurkacz
2.89Recorded odds1.40
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Aleksandar KovacevicVSHubert Hurkacz
7Set 16
7Set 26
Aleksandar Kovacevic won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Aleksandar KovacevicHubert Hurkacz
61%
Career Win %
60%
65%
Win % on Hard
60%
85%
Holds Serve
88%
12%
Breaks Serve
16%
57%
1st Serve In
64%
78%
1st Serve Won
77%
32%
Return Pts Won
35%
9.6
Aces / match
12.1
73%
Tiebreak %
52%
50%
Deciding-set %
56%
1577
Rating
1568
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Aleksandar Kovacevic82 serves
Where they place their serve
Hubert Hurkacz85 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
2%Body
23%T
20%T
4%Body
23%Wide
16%Wide
11%Body
25%T
16%T
8%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · T25%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Hubert Hurkacz 7–6 7–6 at the Indian Wells Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on hard court in the first round on 5 March 2026. The result upset the pre-match odds, with Hurkacz favoured at 1.40 to Kovacevic's 2.89. Both sets went to tiebreaks, indicating a closely contested match where Kovacevic's nerve in the decisive moments proved decisive. The American's straight-sets victory over the higher-seeded Pole represents a significant scalp at a prestigious Masters 1000 event and signals potential momentum heading into the tournament's later rounds.
