Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurOpen full analysisCarlos AlcarazOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardQFTuesday, January 27, 2026
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSCarlos Alcaraz
5Set 17
2Set 26
1Set 36

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurCarlos Alcaraz
52%
Career Win %
80%
58%
Win % on Hard
78%
79%
Holds Serve
86%
24%
Breaks Serve
29%
58%
1st Serve In
65%
70%
1st Serve Won
72%
39%
Return Pts Won
41%
3.5
Aces / match
4.4
49%
Tiebreak %
59%
49%
Deciding-set %
67%
1688
Rating
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur93 serves
Where they place their serve
Carlos Alcaraz83 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
8%Body
32%T
12%T
14%Body
23%Wide
14%Wide
7%Body
30%T
14%T
13%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T32%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alex De Minaur 7–5, 6–2, 6–1 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard court on 27 January 2026, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.14. De Minaur, available at 5.39, competed in the opening set before Alcaraz established control from the second frame onwards, progressively dismantling his opponent with successive set victories of increasing dominance. The Spaniard's performance underscored the gulf in class between the two players at this stage of the tournament, with De Minaur unable to sustain the competitive level required against one of the sport's elite competitors. Alcaraz's commanding display advances him to the semi-final and reinforces his standing as a genuine Grand Slam contender.