Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurOpen full analysisCasper RuudOpen full analysis

United CuphardRRSaturday, January 3, 2026
No-vig market probability
Minaur 72%28% Ruud
1.33Recorded odds3.40
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSCasper Ruud
3Set 16
3Set 26

Casper Ruud won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurCasper Ruud
53%
Career Win %
62%
58%
Win % on Hard
55%
79%
Holds Serve
85%
24%
Breaks Serve
20%
58%
1st Serve In
65%
70%
1st Serve Won
73%
39%
Return Pts Won
37%
3.5
Aces / match
5.3
49%
Tiebreak %
55%
49%
Deciding-set %
56%
1695
Rating
1706
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur66 serves
Where they place their serve
Casper Ruud66 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
5%Body
35%T
14%T
8%Body
27%Wide
21%Wide
0%Body
30%T
27%T
6%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T35%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Casper Ruud defeated Alex De Minaur 6–3, 6–3 in a round-robin match at the United Cup, a 250-tier ATP event on hard court on 3 January 2026. Ruud's dominant performance saw him dispatch the Australian in straight sets, controlling both frames with consistent tennis. De Minaur struggled to find rhythm against the Norwegian's baseline game, unable to mount sustained pressure or break serve at crucial moments. The emphatic scoreline underscores Ruud's strong form heading into the Australian Open season and represents a significant statement in the tournament's group stage. This result strengthens Ruud's position in the round-robin standings and suggests continued momentum in his preparation for the year's opening Grand Slam.