Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

ViennahardSFSaturday, October 25, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 14%86% Sinner
6.80Recorded odds1.10
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
4Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurJannik Sinner
52%
Career Win %
78%
58%
Win % on Hard
79%
79%
Holds Serve
88%
24%
Breaks Serve
28%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
70%
1st Serve Won
76%
39%
Return Pts Won
41%
3.5
Aces / match
6.5
49%
Tiebreak %
69%
49%
Deciding-set %
56%
1688
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur50 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner57 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
24%Body
14%T
10%T
16%Body
20%Wide
18%Wide
16%Body
19%T
12%T
9%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body24%
Top targetAd · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alex De Minaur in the semi-final of the ATP 250 Vienna tournament on hard court, winning 6–3, 6–4. As the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.1, Sinner delivered the expected result against the outsider De Minaur, who started at 6.8. The Italian's composed performance across both sets underscored his control of the match, securing passage to the final with a straightforward victory. This win reinforces Sinner's commanding form on the ATP circuit and extends his head-to-head advantage over the Australian.