Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex De MinaurOpen full analysisTaylor FritzOpen full analysis

Tour FinalshardRRFriday, November 14, 2025
No-vig market probability
Minaur 30%70% Fritz
3.27Recorded odds1.39
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex De MinaurVSTaylor Fritz
7Set 16
6Set 23

Alex De Minaur won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex De MinaurTaylor Fritz
52%
Career Win %
56%
58%
Win % on Hard
54%
79%
Holds Serve
88%
24%
Breaks Serve
17%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
70%
1st Serve Won
78%
39%
Return Pts Won
35%
3.5
Aces / match
10.0
49%
Tiebreak %
47%
49%
Deciding-set %
36%
1688
Rating
1680
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex De Minaur66 serves
Where they place their serve
Taylor Fritz69 serves
Where they place their serve
8%Wide
11%Body
35%T
20%T
15%Body
12%Wide
19%Wide
1%Body
32%T
16%T
7%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T35%
Top targetDeuce · T32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alex De Minaur defeated Taylor Fritz 7–6, 6–3 at the ATP Tour Finals on hard court in the round-robin stage, posting a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Fritz, who entered with odds of 1.39 to De Minaur's 3.27, was unable to sustain the form that had brought him to the year-end championship. De Minaur secured the opening set via tiebreak before breaking clear in the second, demonstrating control when it mattered most. The result represents a notable scalp for De Minaur in the elite eight-man field and strengthens his position in the round-robin standings.