Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex MichelsenOpen full analysisDaniil MedvedevOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardSFSaturday, January 10, 2026
No-vig market probability
Michelsen 25%75% Medvedev
3.77Recorded odds1.26
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex MichelsenVSDaniil Medvedev
4Set 16
2Set 26

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex MichelsenDaniil Medvedev
64%
Career Win %
69%
67%
Win % on Hard
70%
83%
Holds Serve
85%
23%
Breaks Serve
25%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
73%
1st Serve Won
75%
38%
Return Pts Won
39%
6.2
Aces / match
8.4
54%
Tiebreak %
52%
33%
Deciding-set %
56%
1612
Rating
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex Michelsen65 serves
Where they place their serve
Daniil Medvedev75 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
2%Body
31%T
20%T
6%Body
22%Wide
36%Wide
3%Body
12%T
27%T
0%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · Wide36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alex Michelsen 6–4, 6–2 in the Brisbane ATP 250 semi-final on hard court on 10 January 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.26 to Michelsen's 3.77. The Russian's dominant second set, where he conceded just two games, underscored his control throughout the encounter. Medvedev's progression to the final represents a continuation of his early-season form and keeps him on course for a significant title run at the tournament.