Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex MichelsenOpen full analysisKaren KhachanovOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR32Saturday, January 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Michelsen 39%61% Khachanov
2.50Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex MichelsenVSKaren Khachanov
6Set 13
7Set 26
6Set 32

Alex Michelsen won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex MichelsenKaren Khachanov
64%
Career Win %
45%
67%
Win % on Hard
49%
83%
Holds Serve
83%
23%
Breaks Serve
18%
64%
1st Serve In
64%
73%
1st Serve Won
72%
38%
Return Pts Won
36%
6.2
Aces / match
7.6
54%
Tiebreak %
29%
33%
Deciding-set %
29%
1612
Rating
1647
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex Michelsen99 serves
Where they place their serve
Karen Khachanov83 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
5%Body
27%T
25%T
5%Body
17%Wide
24%Wide
6%Body
23%T
20%T
7%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alex Michelsen defeated Karen Khachanov at the Australian Open in the second round on hard court, securing a 6–3, 7–6, 6–2 victory. The result constituted a significant upset, as Khachanov entered as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.6 to Michelsen's 2.5. Michelsen's composed performance across all three sets demonstrated control and consistency, particularly evident in the second-set tiebreak and the decisive third set. The American's straightforward progression suggests improved form heading deeper into the tournament, while Khachanov's early exit raises questions about his readiness at the year's opening Grand Slam.