Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alex MolcanOpen full analysisStan WawrinkaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Monday, January 16, 2023
No-vig market probability
Molcan 25%75% Wawrinka
3.89Recorded odds1.30
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alex MolcanVSStan Wawrinka
6Set 17
6Set 23
1Set 36
7Set 46
6Set 54

Alex Molcan won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alex MolcanStan Wawrinka
33%
Career Win %
47%
33%
Win % on Hard
48%
76%
Holds Serve
82%
15%
Breaks Serve
17%
65%
1st Serve In
58%
65%
1st Serve Won
73%
34%
Return Pts Won
35%
4.1
Aces / match
7.6
60%
Tiebreak %
56%
25%
Deciding-set %
41%
1469
Rating
1539
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alex Molcan154 serves
Where they place their serve
Stan Wawrinka172 serves
Where they place their serve
8%Wide
20%Body
25%T
8%T
9%Body
29%Wide
37%Wide
5%Body
10%T
19%T
2%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide37%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alex Molcan defeated Stan Wawrinka 6–7 6–3 1–6 7–6 6–4 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 16 January 2023, pulling off a significant upset against the heavy favourite. Wawrinka, priced at 1.30 to Molcan's 3.89, began strongly and took the opening set in a tie-break before Molcan levelled with a commanding second set. The match swung dramatically in the third, where Wawrinka capitulated, but Molcan's momentum proved decisive in the fourth set's tie-break and a dominant fifth frame. The Slovak's ability to recover from the one-sided third set and convert crucial moments in the latter stages demonstrated composure under pressure against an opponent of considerably higher seeding and experience. The victory represents a notable scalp for Molcan and suggests renewed confidence heading into the later rounds.