Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisFrancisco CerundoloOpen full analysis

ViennahardR16Thursday, October 23, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 61%39% Cerundolo
1.55Recorded odds2.43
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSFrancisco Cerundolo
6Set 14
6Set 22

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikFrancisco Cerundolo
54%
Career Win %
38%
48%
Win % on Hard
36%
81%
Holds Serve
73%
15%
Breaks Serve
23%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
76%
1st Serve Won
66%
34%
Return Pts Won
38%
10.8
Aces / match
3.3
53%
Tiebreak %
25%
70%
Deciding-set %
31%
1646
Rating
1538
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik66 serves
Where they place their serve
Francisco Cerundolo50 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
2%Body
27%T
30%T
5%Body
14%Wide
18%Wide
4%Body
30%T
18%T
2%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T30%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6–4, 6–2 in the Vienna ATP 250 round of 16 on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.55 to Cerundolo's 2.43. The Kazakhstani player controlled the encounter from the outset, breaking serve decisively in the opening set before accelerating through the second to secure a comfortable victory. Bublik's clinical performance saw him advance to the quarter-finals without facing significant resistance. The result strengthens Bublik's position in Vienna and maintains his momentum in the latter stages of the season.