Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisHubert HurkaczOpen full analysis

RotterdamhardR32Wednesday, February 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Bublik 55%45% Hurkacz
1.71Recorded odds2.11
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSHubert Hurkacz
6Set 17
7Set 26
7Set 35

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikHubert Hurkacz
54%
Career Win %
60%
48%
Win % on Hard
60%
81%
Holds Serve
88%
15%
Breaks Serve
16%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
76%
1st Serve Won
77%
34%
Return Pts Won
35%
10.8
Aces / match
12.1
53%
Tiebreak %
52%
70%
Deciding-set %
56%
1646
Rating
1568
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik119 serves
Where they place their serve
Hubert Hurkacz107 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
13%Body
21%T
23%T
10%Body
15%Wide
15%Wide
10%Body
28%T
14%T
11%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T23%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Hubert Hurkacz 7–6 7–6 7–5 in the first round of the ATP 250 Rotterdam tournament on hard court on 11 February 2026. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.71, Bublik's victory followed expectation, though the match proved competitive across all three sets, each decided by narrow margins. The Kazakh player's win in successive tiebreaks in the opening two sets proved decisive, before he secured a decisive break in the final set to close out the contest. The result maintains Bublik's momentum in the early stages of the European hard-court season and sets up a second-round meeting with a higher-ranked opponent.