Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisJack DraperOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR16Monday, June 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 10%90% Draper
10.11Recorded odds1.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSJack Draper
5Set 17
6Set 23
6Set 32
6Set 44

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikJack Draper
54%
Career Win %
52%
64%
Win % on Clay
25%
81%
Holds Serve
82%
15%
Breaks Serve
21%
61%
1st Serve In
60%
76%
1st Serve Won
73%
34%
Return Pts Won
37%
10.8
Aces / match
7.4
53%
Tiebreak %
62%
70%
Deciding-set %
25%
1646
Rating
1605
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik129 serves
Where they place their serve
Jack Draper106 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
10%Body
24%T
25%T
9%Body
15%Wide
8%Wide
13%Body
30%T
12%T
11%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T25%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Jack Draper 5–7, 6–3, 6–2, 6–4 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay, producing a significant upset against the heavy favourite. Draper, priced at 1.08, entered as the clear pre-match favourite, but Bublik mounted a comeback after dropping the opening set, seizing control from the second set onwards. The Kazakh player's improved consistency on the surface proved decisive as Draper's form deteriorated across the final three sets, with the British player unable to sustain the level required against an opponent playing with growing confidence. The victory marks a notable turnaround for Bublik on clay and sends him into the quarter-finals with considerable momentum.