Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR16Monday, September 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 11%89% Sinner
8.96Recorded odds1.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSJannik Sinner
1Set 16
1Set 26
1Set 36

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikJannik Sinner
54%
Career Win %
78%
48%
Win % on Hard
79%
81%
Holds Serve
88%
15%
Breaks Serve
28%
61%
1st Serve In
61%
76%
1st Serve Won
76%
34%
Return Pts Won
41%
10.8
Aces / match
6.5
53%
Tiebreak %
69%
70%
Deciding-set %
56%
1646
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik79 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner53 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
22%Body
16%T
34%T
10%Body
4%Wide
28%Wide
13%Body
13%T
15%T
6%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T34%
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6–1, 6–1, 6–1 in the US Open round of 16 on hard court, delivering a dominant performance that justified his overwhelming pre-match favourite status at 1.09 odds. The Italian top seed dismantled the Kazakhstani player in straight sets, conceding just three games across the entire match in one of the tournament's most lopsided encounters. Bublik, a 200–1 outsider at 8.96 odds, offered minimal resistance and was unable to trouble Sinner's serving or baseline game. The result underscores Sinner's continued momentum at Flushing Meadows and positions him as the tournament's clear front-runner heading into the quarter-finals.