Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

ViennahardQFFriday, October 24, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 11%89% Sinner
8.63Recorded odds1.06
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSJannik Sinner
4Set 16
4Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikJannik Sinner
54%
Career Win %
78%
48%
Win % on Hard
79%
81%
Holds Serve
88%
15%
Breaks Serve
28%
61%
1st Serve In
61%
76%
1st Serve Won
76%
34%
Return Pts Won
41%
10.8
Aces / match
6.5
53%
Tiebreak %
69%
70%
Deciding-set %
56%
1646
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik69 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner45 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
13%Body
22%T
23%T
6%Body
19%Wide
11%Wide
18%Body
27%T
18%T
9%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T23%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6–4, 6–4 in the Vienna ATP 250 quarter-final on hard court, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.06 to Bublik's 8.63. Sinner's composed performance saw him control both sets with consistent tennis, breaking serve at crucial moments to secure progression. The Italian's clinical execution allowed him to manage Bublik's unpredictable game without requiring extended rallies or dramatic momentum shifts. This straightforward victory maintains Sinner's strong indoor form and keeps him on course for a deep run in Vienna, where he continues to demonstrate the consistency that has defined his season.