Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisJenson BrooksbyOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Sunday, January 18, 2026
No-vig market probability
Bublik 75%25% Brooksby
1.27Recorded odds3.73
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSJenson Brooksby
6Set 14
6Set 24
6Set 34

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikJenson Brooksby
54%
Career Win %
46%
48%
Win % on Hard
41%
81%
Holds Serve
75%
15%
Breaks Serve
22%
61%
1st Serve In
65%
76%
1st Serve Won
66%
34%
Return Pts Won
38%
10.8
Aces / match
2.7
53%
Tiebreak %
38%
70%
Deciding-set %
67%
1646
Rating
1468
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik93 serves
Where they place their serve
Jenson Brooksby96 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
2%Body
31%T
30%T
3%Body
16%Wide
11%Wide
11%Body
28%T
14%T
12%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Jenson Brooksby 6–4, 6–4, 6–4 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.27 to Brooksby's 3.73. The Kazakhstani player's commanding three-set victory demonstrated clinical efficiency across all three sets, maintaining consistent pressure throughout the encounter. Brooksby, the American underdog, could not generate sufficient momentum to trouble Bublik, who converted his favoured status into a decisive result. The straight-sets nature of the win suggests Bublik entered the tournament in sharp form, establishing early rhythm in the opening round and maintaining it without significant resistance from his opponent. Bublik's dominant performance positions him well for the second round, whilst Brooksby faces an early exit from the year's first Grand Slam.