Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisJuan Manuel CerundoloOpen full analysis

GstaadclayFSunday, July 20, 2025
No-vig market probability
Bublik 74%26% Cerundolo
1.32Recorded odds3.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSJuan Manuel Cerundolo
6Set 14
4Set 26
6Set 33

Alexander Bublik won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikJuan Manuel Cerundolo
54%
Career Win %
50%
64%
Win % on Clay
40%
81%
Holds Serve
76%
15%
Breaks Serve
17%
61%
1st Serve In
58%
76%
1st Serve Won
67%
34%
Return Pts Won
35%
10.8
Aces / match
4.1
53%
Tiebreak %
80%
70%
Deciding-set %
40%
1646
Rating
1492
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik93 serves
Where they place their serve
Juan Manuel Cerundolo100 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
10%Body
20%T
30%T
15%Body
3%Wide
7%Wide
26%Body
19%T
15%T
17%Body
16%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T30%
Top targetDeuce · Body26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Bublik defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6–4, 4–6, 6–3 in the final of the ATP 250 event at Gstaad on clay on 20 July 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.32 to Cerundolo's 3.77. Bublik controlled the opening set with a break in the fourth game, though Cerundolo mounted a second-set comeback to level the match. The Argentine's momentum proved unsustainable as Bublik reasserted dominance in the decider, breaking serve twice to secure his title. The victory marks a significant achievement for Bublik on the ATP 250 circuit and demonstrates his ability to convert favouritism in high-pressure situations.