Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander BublikOpen full analysisMilos RaonicOpen full analysis

RotterdamhardR16Wednesday, February 14, 2024
No-vig market probability
Bublik 62%38% Raonic
1.56Recorded odds2.59
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander BublikVSMilos Raonic
4Set 16
4Set 26

Milos Raonic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander BublikMilos Raonic
54%
Career Win %
52%
48%
Win % on Hard
56%
81%
Holds Serve
90%
15%
Breaks Serve
12%
61%
1st Serve In
63%
76%
1st Serve Won
81%
34%
Return Pts Won
31%
10.8
Aces / match
15.6
53%
Tiebreak %
55%
70%
Deciding-set %
44%
1646
Rating
1641
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Bublik65 serves
Where they place their serve
Milos Raonic54 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
12%Body
28%T
17%T
6%Body
25%Wide
35%Wide
4%Body
15%T
19%T
0%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetDeuce · Wide35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Milos Raonic defeated Alexander Bublik 6–4, 6–4 in the second round of the ATP 250 Rotterdam tournament on hard court on 14 February 2024, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Bublik entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.56, but Raonic's straightforward two-set performance demonstrated superior consistency throughout. The Canadian's composed approach neutralised Bublik's attacking game, allowing him to control the baseline exchanges and dictate play without requiring a third set. Raonic's progression to the quarter-finals marks a significant momentum boost after a period of limited tournament activity, whilst Bublik's early exit represents a disappointing result for a player seeded to go deeper in the draw.