Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ShevchenkoOpen full analysisCarlos AlcarazOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Monday, January 13, 2025
No-vig market probability
Shevchenko 3%97% Alcaraz
35.12Recorded odds1.02
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ShevchenkoVSCarlos Alcaraz
1Set 16
5Set 27
1Set 36

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ShevchenkoCarlos Alcaraz
15%
Career Win %
80%
9%
Win % on Hard
78%
64%
Holds Serve
86%
12%
Breaks Serve
29%
61%
1st Serve In
65%
62%
1st Serve Won
72%
32%
Return Pts Won
41%
2.7
Aces / match
4.4
67%
Tiebreak %
59%
17%
Deciding-set %
67%
1404
Rating
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Shevchenko89 serves
Where they place their serve
Carlos Alcaraz81 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
2%Body
27%T
11%T
9%Body
28%Wide
12%Wide
4%Body
36%T
21%T
2%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · T36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6–1, 7–5, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 13 January 2025. As the overwhelming pre-match favourite at odds of 1.02, Alcaraz delivered an expected performance, dominating the opening and closing sets with identical 6–1 scorelines. The second set proved marginally more competitive, though Shevchenko mounted only modest resistance before succumbing 7–5. Alcaraz's convincing progression underlines his status as a title contender at Melbourne Park and sets up a second-round encounter with a higher-ranked opponent.