Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ShevchenkoOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

ChengduhardSFMonday, September 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Shevchenko 18%82% Musetti
5.48Recorded odds1.19
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ShevchenkoVSLorenzo Musetti
3Set 16
1Set 26

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ShevchenkoLorenzo Musetti
15%
Career Win %
56%
9%
Win % on Hard
45%
64%
Holds Serve
79%
12%
Breaks Serve
22%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
62%
1st Serve Won
69%
32%
Return Pts Won
38%
2.7
Aces / match
3.7
67%
Tiebreak %
45%
17%
Deciding-set %
69%
1404
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Shevchenko55 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti40 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
11%Body
20%T
24%T
0%Body
25%Wide
32%Wide
0%Body
25%T
15%T
2%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide25%
Top targetDeuce · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6–3, 6–1 in the semi-final of the ATP 250 Chengdu event on hard court on 22 September 2025, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with a commanding performance. Shevchenko, despite entering as a significant underdog at 5.48 odds, offered little resistance as Musetti controlled proceedings throughout, dropping only four games across two sets. The Italian's clinical display saw him advance to the final without requiring a third set, demonstrating the form that had made him the clear betting favourite. Musetti's convincing victory keeps him on course for the title and reinforces his standing among the tournament's contenders.