Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisBrandon NakashimaOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR32Sunday, March 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 75%25% Nakashima
1.25Recorded odds3.84
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSBrandon Nakashima
7Set 16
5Set 27
6Set 34

Alexander Zverev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevBrandon Nakashima
60%
Career Win %
41%
61%
Win % on Hard
50%
86%
Holds Serve
85%
19%
Breaks Serve
15%
69%
1st Serve In
64%
74%
1st Serve Won
74%
36%
Return Pts Won
34%
8.6
Aces / match
9.2
58%
Tiebreak %
36%
48%
Deciding-set %
44%
1809
Rating
1593
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev101 serves
Where they place their serve
Brandon Nakashima105 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
3%Body
27%T
23%T
6%Body
19%Wide
27%Wide
9%Body
19%T
16%T
5%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Zverev defeated Brandon Nakashima 7–6, 5–7, 6–4 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.25 to Nakashima's 3.84. The German top seed navigated a competitive encounter that saw the American mount a strong challenge in the second set, forcing a decisive third frame. Zverev's superior experience and consistency ultimately proved decisive, particularly in the opening tiebreak and the closing set, where he secured the crucial break of serve to seal victory. The result maintains Zverev's momentum in the desert and sets up a third-round clash against a higher-ranked opponent.