Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisFlavio CobolliOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayQFThursday, April 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 90%10% Cobolli
1.06Recorded odds9.25
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSFlavio Cobolli
6Set 11
6Set 24

Alexander Zverev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevFlavio Cobolli
60%
Career Win %
44%
63%
Win % on Clay
38%
86%
Holds Serve
77%
19%
Breaks Serve
14%
69%
1st Serve In
58%
74%
1st Serve Won
70%
36%
Return Pts Won
33%
8.6
Aces / match
5.3
58%
Tiebreak %
50%
48%
Deciding-set %
78%
1809
Rating
1557
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev52 serves
Where they place their serve
Flavio Cobolli62 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
8%Body
27%T
21%T
2%Body
23%Wide
19%Wide
10%Body
21%T
8%T
3%Body
39%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetAd · Wide39%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Zverev defeated Flavio Cobolli 6–1, 6–4 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay, comfortably dispatching the Italian as the heavy favourite. Zverev's dominance was evident from the outset, breaking serve repeatedly to claim the opening set in emphatic fashion before maintaining control in the second, where Cobolli managed only four games. The result aligned squarely with pre-match expectations, with Zverev's odds of 1.06 reflecting his status as overwhelming favourite against Cobolli's 9.25 underdog price. The German's clinical performance on the red clay demonstrates his continued mastery of the surface and keeps him on course for a strong run in Madrid.