Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayFSunday, May 3, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 18%82% Sinner
5.12Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSJannik Sinner
1Set 16
2Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner
60%
Career Win %
78%
63%
Win % on Clay
77%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
19%
Breaks Serve
28%
69%
1st Serve In
61%
74%
1st Serve Won
76%
36%
Return Pts Won
41%
8.6
Aces / match
6.5
58%
Tiebreak %
69%
48%
Deciding-set %
56%
1809
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev35 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner39 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
6%Body
31%T
20%T
6%Body
17%Wide
18%Wide
3%Body
36%T
10%T
0%Body
33%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · T36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6–1, 6–2 in the final of the Madrid Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event on clay, on 3 May 2026. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.16 odds, Sinner delivered a dominant performance, securing a decisive victory with a commanding display across both sets. Zverev, competing as the underdog at 5.12, struggled to impose his game and offered little resistance throughout the match. The Italian's comprehensive win on his favoured surface underscores his clay-court credentials and adds another significant title to his 2026 campaign, whilst the emphatic nature of the result suggests considerable form advantage heading into the French Open season.