Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardSFFriday, March 27, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 17%83% Sinner
5.47Recorded odds1.14
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
6Set 27

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner
60%
Career Win %
78%
61%
Win % on Hard
79%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
19%
Breaks Serve
28%
69%
1st Serve In
61%
74%
1st Serve Won
76%
36%
Return Pts Won
41%
8.6
Aces / match
6.5
58%
Tiebreak %
69%
48%
Deciding-set %
56%
1809
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev63 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner77 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
6%Body
32%T
21%T
8%Body
19%Wide
22%Wide
6%Body
23%T
19%T
4%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T32%
Top targetAd · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Miami Masters on hard court, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.14 to Zverev's 5.47. The Italian's composed performance across both sets reflected his superior ranking and form heading into the clash. Zverev competed closely in the second set, forcing a tie-break, but Sinner's consistency proved decisive in securing the victory. The result advances Sinner to the final and reinforces his position among the ATP's elite on the Masters 1000 circuit.