Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Tour FinalshardRRWednesday, November 12, 2025
No-vig market probability
Zverev 14%86% Sinner
7.21Recorded odds1.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSJannik Sinner
4Set 16
3Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevJannik Sinner
60%
Career Win %
78%
61%
Win % on Hard
79%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
19%
Breaks Serve
28%
69%
1st Serve In
61%
74%
1st Serve Won
76%
36%
Return Pts Won
41%
8.6
Aces / match
6.5
58%
Tiebreak %
69%
48%
Deciding-set %
56%
1809
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev52 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner68 serves
Where they place their serve
25%Wide
8%Body
21%T
12%T
8%Body
27%Wide
18%Wide
13%Body
22%T
21%T
7%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · T22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 6-3 in the round-robin stage of the ATP Tour Finals on hard court. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.13 odds, Sinner delivered a commanding performance that justified his status, with Zverev unable to mount a sustained challenge despite entering as a considerable underdog at 7.21. The Italian's control was evident across both sets, breaking serve at critical moments and maintaining the consistency required to dominate the season's year-end championship. This victory reinforces Sinner's credentials as the tournament's leading contender and strengthens his positioning within the round-robin group.