Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexander ZverevOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

Indian Wells MastershardR64Friday, March 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 78%22% Berrettini
1.21Recorded odds4.20
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexander ZverevVSMatteo Berrettini
6Set 13
6Set 24

Alexander Zverev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexander ZverevMatteo Berrettini
60%
Career Win %
59%
61%
Win % on Hard
53%
86%
Holds Serve
88%
19%
Breaks Serve
15%
69%
1st Serve In
65%
74%
1st Serve Won
78%
36%
Return Pts Won
34%
8.6
Aces / match
10.6
58%
Tiebreak %
57%
48%
Deciding-set %
50%
1809
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexander Zverev46 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini52 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
0%Body
41%T
20%T
0%Body
24%Wide
29%Wide
10%Body
13%T
12%T
10%Body
27%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T41%
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexander Zverev defeated Matteo Berrettini 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.21 to Berrettini's 4.2. The German controlled the opening set decisively, breaking through the Italian's service games and establishing early momentum. Zverev maintained his superiority in the second set, converting opportunities to close out the match in straight sets without surrendering a set. The result represents a straightforward progression for the top seed, who showed the consistency required to dispatch a player of Berrettini's calibre in the opening round. Zverev advances to the second round seeking to build on this commanding performance.