Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexandra EalaOpen full analysisDayana YastremskaOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR64Friday, March 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Eala 57%43% Yastremska
1.66Recorded odds2.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexandra EalaVSDayana Yastremska
7Set 15
4Set 26
7Set 35

Alexandra Eala won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexandra EalaDayana Yastremska
59%
Career Win %
37%
59%
Win % on Hard
34%
63%
Holds Serve
64%
40%
Breaks Serve
30%
64%
1st Serve In
58%
59%
1st Serve Won
64%
46%
Return Pts Won
42%
0.8
Aces / match
3.0
100%
Tiebreak %
38%
50%
Deciding-set %
12%
1585
Rating
1445
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexandra Eala95 serves
Where they place their serve
Dayana Yastremska125 serves
Where they place their serve
3%Wide
26%Body
23%T
13%T
24%Body
11%Wide
14%Wide
22%Body
17%T
11%T
22%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body26%
Top targetDeuce · Body22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Alexandra Eala defeated Dayana Yastremska 7–5, 4–6, 7–5 in the first round of the WTA 1000 Indian Wells on hard court on 6 March 2026, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.66 to Yastremska's 2.17. The Filipino player recovered from losing the second set to secure victory in a closely contested final frame, edging through after two hours of competitive tennis. Eala's ability to regain composure after the second-set loss proved decisive in the decider, where she capitalised on key moments to advance. The result maintains Eala's momentum at the Masters 1000 level as she progresses to the second round.