Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexandre MullerOpen full analysisHolger RuneOpen full analysis

Canada MastershardR32Thursday, July 31, 2025
No-vig market probability
Muller 23%77% Rune
4.17Recorded odds1.27
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexandre MullerVSHolger Rune
2Set 16
4Set 26

Holger Rune won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexandre MullerHolger Rune
7%
Career Win %
52%
14%
Win % on Hard
50%
64%
Holds Serve
79%
11%
Breaks Serve
17%
61%
1st Serve In
61%
62%
1st Serve Won
70%
31%
Return Pts Won
35%
3.7
Aces / match
5.1
25%
Tiebreak %
54%
0%
Deciding-set %
50%
1406
Rating
1565
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexandre Muller44 serves
Where they place their serve
Holger Rune48 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
14%Body
20%T
16%T
14%Body
16%Wide
25%Wide
19%Body
15%T
17%T
10%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide20%
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Holger Rune defeated Alexandre Muller 6–2, 6–4 in the first round of the Canada Masters on hard court on 31 July 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.27 to Muller's 4.17. The Danish player controlled proceedings throughout, breaking Muller's serve consistently to secure both sets with relative comfort. Rune's dominant performance underscored his credentials heading into the latter stages of the Masters 1000 event, whilst Muller's early exit leaves him with work to do in the remainder of the season.