Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexei PopyrinOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Thursday, August 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Popyrin 6%94% Sinner
14.88Recorded odds1.02
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexei PopyrinVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
2Set 26
2Set 36

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexei PopyrinJannik Sinner
35%
Career Win %
78%
41%
Win % on Hard
79%
81%
Holds Serve
88%
14%
Breaks Serve
28%
62%
1st Serve In
61%
74%
1st Serve Won
76%
33%
Return Pts Won
41%
9.2
Aces / match
6.5
29%
Tiebreak %
69%
43%
Deciding-set %
56%
1488
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexei Popyrin75 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner81 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
12%Body
15%T
25%T
11%Body
13%Wide
10%Wide
21%Body
22%T
11%T
7%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · T25%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexei Popyrin 6–3, 6–2, 6–2 in the first round of the US Open on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite at odds of 1.02. Popyrin, a 14.88 outsider, offered minimal resistance across the three sets, with Sinner controlling proceedings from the outset to secure a dominant victory. The Italian's clinical performance underscored his credentials as a leading contender for the title, whilst Popyrin's exit marked an early departure for the Australian. Sinner's progression sets up a second-round clash against a qualifier or lower-ranked opponent, maintaining his trajectory towards the latter stages of the tournament.