Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexei PopyrinOpen full analysisSebastian KordaOpen full analysis

AthenshardR32Sunday, November 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Popyrin 37%63% Korda
2.61Recorded odds1.55
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexei PopyrinVSSebastian Korda
6Set 14
3Set 26
4Set 36

Sebastian Korda won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexei PopyrinSebastian Korda
35%
Career Win %
37%
41%
Win % on Hard
39%
81%
Holds Serve
81%
14%
Breaks Serve
15%
62%
1st Serve In
62%
74%
1st Serve Won
72%
33%
Return Pts Won
34%
9.2
Aces / match
8.0
29%
Tiebreak %
39%
43%
Deciding-set %
44%
1488
Rating
1512
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexei Popyrin86 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Korda82 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
10%Body
27%T
16%T
9%Body
22%Wide
26%Wide
5%Body
22%T
20%T
4%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sebastian Korda defeated Alexei Popyrin 4–6, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of the ATP 250 event in Athens on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.55 to Popyrin's 2.61. After dropping the opening set, Korda regrouped to take control of the match, winning the second and third sets with increasing command. The American's ability to recover from an early deficit proved decisive in securing progression to the next round. Korda's victory reinforces his current form on hard courts and maintains his upward trajectory in the ATP rankings.