Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexei PopyrinOpen full analysisTommy PaulOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR16Sunday, June 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Popyrin 41%59% Paul
2.36Recorded odds1.67
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexei PopyrinVSTommy Paul
3Set 16
3Set 26
3Set 36

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexei PopyrinTommy Paul
35%
Career Win %
50%
17%
Win % on Clay
46%
81%
Holds Serve
80%
14%
Breaks Serve
21%
62%
1st Serve In
62%
74%
1st Serve Won
71%
33%
Return Pts Won
37%
9.2
Aces / match
5.1
29%
Tiebreak %
35%
43%
Deciding-set %
55%
1488
Rating
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexei Popyrin71 serves
Where they place their serve
Tommy Paul88 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
1%Body
28%T
14%T
11%Body
21%Wide
14%Wide
16%Body
22%T
9%T
7%Body
33%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T28%
Top targetAd · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Alexei Popyrin at Roland Garros on clay in the round of 16, securing a commanding 6–3, 6–3, 6–3 victory. Paul, the pre-match favourite at 1.67 odds, delivered a performance that justified his status, dispatching the Australian in straight sets without conceding a set. The comprehensive nature of the scoreline underscores Paul's control throughout the match and his growing confidence on the Paris clay. The result advances Paul deeper into the Grand Slam draw and maintains his momentum in the tournament.