Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Amanda AnisimovaOpen full analysisJasmine PaoliniOpen full analysis

BeijinghardQFThursday, October 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Anisimova 64%36% Paolini
1.53Recorded odds2.69
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Amanda AnisimovaVSJasmine Paolini
6Set 17
6Set 23
6Set 34

Amanda Anisimova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Amanda AnisimovaJasmine Paolini
62%
Career Win %
62%
64%
Win % on Hard
52%
69%
Holds Serve
68%
38%
Breaks Serve
38%
63%
1st Serve In
68%
64%
1st Serve Won
62%
45%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.6
Aces / match
1.2
53%
Tiebreak %
71%
64%
Deciding-set %
61%
1709
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Amanda Anisimova119 serves
Where they place their serve
Jasmine Paolini113 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
12%Body
25%T
11%T
12%Body
24%Wide
19%Wide
11%Body
22%T
17%T
12%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T25%
Top targetDeuce · T22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Amanda Anisimova defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the WTA 1000 event in Beijing on hard court. Anisimova, the pre-match favourite at 1.53 odds, secured the result as expected despite a competitive opening set that went to a tiebreak. After dropping the first set, Anisimova regrouped effectively, taking control in the second set and maintaining her advantage through the third to advance. The American's recovery from the opening-set loss demonstrated composure under pressure, whilst Paolini was unable to sustain the momentum that took her into the quarterfinals. Anisimova's progression keeps her on track in Beijing and strengthens her position heading into the latter stages of the tournament.