Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Amanda AnisimovaOpen full analysisJessica PegulaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardQFTuesday, January 27, 2026
No-vig market probability
Anisimova 54%46% Pegula
1.76Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Amanda AnisimovaVSJessica Pegula
2Set 16
6Set 27

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Amanda AnisimovaJessica Pegula
62%
Career Win %
60%
64%
Win % on Hard
62%
69%
Holds Serve
72%
38%
Breaks Serve
36%
63%
1st Serve In
62%
64%
1st Serve Won
66%
45%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.6
Aces / match
2.9
53%
Tiebreak %
53%
64%
Deciding-set %
54%
1709
Rating
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Amanda Anisimova71 serves
Where they place their serve
Jessica Pegula62 serves
Where they place their serve
11%Wide
18%Body
21%T
17%T
15%Body
17%Wide
21%Wide
13%Body
19%T
23%T
5%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T21%
Top targetAd · T23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Amanda Anisimova 6–2, 7–6 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard court on 27 January 2026, securing an upset victory despite entering as the underdog at 2.05 odds against Anisimova's 1.76 favourite status. Pegula dominated the opening set with a decisive 6–2 scoreline before the second set proved more competitive, with both players pushing to a tie-break that Pegula ultimately claimed. The result marks a significant advance for Pegula in Melbourne and represents a notable setback for Anisimova's title aspirations at the year's opening Grand Slam.