Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Amanda AnisimovaOpen full analysisNaomi OsakaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardSFThursday, September 4, 2025
No-vig market probability
Anisimova 49%51% Osaka
1.98Recorded odds1.93
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Amanda AnisimovaVSNaomi Osaka
6Set 17
7Set 26
6Set 33

Amanda Anisimova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Amanda AnisimovaNaomi Osaka
62%
Career Win %
59%
64%
Win % on Hard
64%
69%
Holds Serve
75%
38%
Breaks Serve
30%
63%
1st Serve In
58%
64%
1st Serve Won
72%
45%
Return Pts Won
42%
2.6
Aces / match
6.2
53%
Tiebreak %
42%
64%
Deciding-set %
56%
1709
Rating
1672
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Amanda Anisimova120 serves
Where they place their serve
Naomi Osaka114 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
19%Body
17%T
12%T
16%Body
18%Wide
18%Wide
25%Body
11%T
19%T
18%Body
9%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body19%
Top targetDeuce · Body25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Amanda Anisimova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the US Open semi-final on hard court on 4 September 2025, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. The American saved a set point in the opening tiebreak before claiming the second set in another tiebreak, then dominated the decider to reach the final. Anisimova's comeback performance from a set down against the slight favourite represents a significant scalp at the year's final Grand Slam and sends her into the championship match as a player in commanding form.