Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaOpen full analysisVictoria AzarenkaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Pavlyuchenkova 58%42% Azarenka
1.68Recorded odds2.30
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaVSVictoria Azarenka
3Set 16
3Set 26

Victoria Azarenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaVictoria Azarenka
31%
Career Win %
50%
33%
Win % on Hard
58%
59%
Holds Serve
66%
26%
Breaks Serve
38%
60%
1st Serve In
66%
62%
1st Serve Won
64%
40%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.4
Aces / match
2.6
57%
Tiebreak %
24%
25%
Deciding-set %
36%
1435
Rating
1522
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova72 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Azarenka50 serves
Where they place their serve
21%Wide
18%Body
12%T
14%T
6%Body
29%Wide
30%Wide
14%Body
10%T
16%T
6%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Azarenka defeated Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6–3, 6–3 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 27 August 2025, recording a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Despite Pavlyuchenkova entering as the odds-on favourite at 1.68, Azarenka controlled proceedings throughout both sets, breaking serve consistently to secure a dominant two-set victory. The result represents a notable statement of intent from Azarenka in the early stages of the Grand Slam, suggesting improved form and confidence heading deeper into the tournament.