Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Andrey RublevOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR16Monday, June 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rublev 8%92% Sinner
12.79Recorded odds1.06
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Andrey RublevVSJannik Sinner
1Set 16
3Set 26
4Set 36

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Andrey RublevJannik Sinner
60%
Career Win %
78%
56%
Win % on Clay
77%
85%
Holds Serve
88%
21%
Breaks Serve
28%
63%
1st Serve In
61%
76%
1st Serve Won
76%
37%
Return Pts Won
41%
7.4
Aces / match
6.5
44%
Tiebreak %
69%
57%
Deciding-set %
56%
1642
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Andrey Rublev89 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner68 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
12%Body
22%T
10%T
7%Body
31%Wide
18%Wide
16%Body
19%T
9%T
10%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Andrey Rublev 6–1, 6–3, 6–4 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.06 to Rublev's 12.79. The Italian's dominance was evident from the opening set, which he claimed in just 26 minutes, before maintaining control through the second and third sets to advance with minimal resistance. Rublev, despite his ranking and pedigree, offered little sustained resistance against an opponent playing with clinical efficiency on the red clay. The comprehensive nature of the victory—three consecutive one-sided sets—underscores Sinner's current form and comfort on the surface as he progresses deeper into the tournament.