Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Andy MurrayOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR128Wednesday, March 20, 2024
No-vig market probability
Murray 46%54% Berrettini
2.10Recorded odds1.81
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Andy MurrayVSMatteo Berrettini
4Set 16
6Set 23
6Set 34

Andy Murray won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Andy MurrayMatteo Berrettini
57%
Career Win %
59%
57%
Win % on Hard
53%
80%
Holds Serve
88%
23%
Breaks Serve
15%
59%
1st Serve In
65%
73%
1st Serve Won
78%
38%
Return Pts Won
34%
7.0
Aces / match
10.6
53%
Tiebreak %
57%
56%
Deciding-set %
50%
1574
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Andy Murray83 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini107 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
6%Body
24%T
19%T
2%Body
25%Wide
17%Wide
11%Body
23%T
15%T
7%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide25%
Top targetAd · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Andy Murray defeated Matteo Berrettini 4–6, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court on 20 March 2024, overturning pre-match odds that favoured the Italian. Berrettini controlled the opening set, breaking serve and claiming it 6–4, but Murray regrouped decisively in the second, taking it 6–3 to level the match. The Briton maintained his momentum in the decider, securing the third set 6–4 to advance. The result marked an upset victory for Murray against a player ranked higher in the betting markets, suggesting improved form or tactical adjustment as he progressed through the early rounds of the tournament.