Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anhelina KalininaOpen full analysisAryna SabalenkaOpen full analysis

MiamihardR32Saturday, March 23, 2024
No-vig market probability
Kalinina 12%88% Sabalenka
8.32Recorded odds1.11
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anhelina KalininaVSAryna Sabalenka
6Set 14
1Set 26
6Set 31

Anhelina Kalinina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anhelina KalininaAryna Sabalenka
36%
Career Win %
70%
35%
Win % on Hard
74%
60%
Holds Serve
77%
33%
Breaks Serve
34%
64%
1st Serve In
62%
60%
1st Serve Won
68%
43%
Return Pts Won
43%
2.1
Aces / match
4.5
25%
Tiebreak %
81%
50%
Deciding-set %
44%
1473
Rating
1790
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anhelina Kalinina82 serves
Where they place their serve
Aryna Sabalenka76 serves
Where they place their serve
10%Wide
18%Body
22%T
9%T
26%Body
16%Wide
24%Wide
16%Body
13%T
14%T
13%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body26%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6–4, 1–6, 6–1 in the second round of the Miami Masters on hard court, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Sabalenka, seeded and heavily favoured at 1.11 odds, began competitively but collapsed after the opening set, winning just seven games across the final two sets as Kalinina, at 8.32 odds, dominated the latter stages. The Ukrainian's ability to recover from a second-set loss and impose control in the decider proved decisive. This result represents a notable scalp for Kalinina in the Masters 1000 draw and underscores the unpredictability of early-round matches even against top-seeded opponents.