Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaOpen full analysisEmma RaducanuOpen full analysis

CincinnatihardR32Monday, August 11, 2025
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 71%29% Raducanu
1.37Recorded odds3.40
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSEmma Raducanu
7Set 16
4Set 26
7Set 36

Aryna Sabalenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaEmma Raducanu
70%
Career Win %
52%
74%
Win % on Hard
52%
77%
Holds Serve
69%
34%
Breaks Serve
34%
62%
1st Serve In
67%
68%
1st Serve Won
64%
43%
Return Pts Won
43%
4.5
Aces / match
2.8
81%
Tiebreak %
55%
44%
Deciding-set %
42%
1790
Rating
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka112 serves
Where they place their serve
Emma Raducanu134 serves
Where they place their serve
33%Wide
12%Body
6%T
16%T
9%Body
23%Wide
26%Wide
14%Body
11%T
18%T
8%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Emma Raducanu 7–6, 4–6, 7–6 in the second round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court on 11 August 2025, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.37 to Raducanu's 3.4. The match proved competitive despite the odds disparity, with both players taking a set apiece before Sabalenka edged a tight final set. The result extends Sabalenka's record against Raducanu and reinforces her standing as a leading contender at the Cincinnati event, whilst Raducanu's loss ends her run in the tournament.