Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaOpen full analysisLucia BronzettiOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 28, 2024
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 95%5% Bronzetti
1.04Recorded odds18.91
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSLucia Bronzetti
6Set 13
6Set 21

Aryna Sabalenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaLucia Bronzetti
70%
Career Win %
20%
74%
Win % on Hard
22%
77%
Holds Serve
64%
34%
Breaks Serve
26%
62%
1st Serve In
63%
68%
1st Serve Won
62%
43%
Return Pts Won
40%
4.5
Aces / match
2.2
81%
Tiebreak %
0%
44%
Deciding-set %
0%
1790
Rating
1400
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka41 serves
Where they place their serve
Lucia Bronzetti48 serves
Where they place their serve
34%Wide
12%Body
7%T
12%T
0%Body
34%Wide
29%Wide
19%Body
4%T
10%T
8%Body
29%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide34%
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Lucia Bronzetti 6–3, 6–1 at the US Open on hard court in the first round, as the heavy favourite with odds of 1.04 to Bronzetti's 18.91. The Belarusian world number one controlled the encounter from the outset, breaking serve multiple times to secure a commanding victory in straight sets. Bronzetti, ranked considerably lower, offered little resistance as Sabalenka's superior court positioning and consistency proved decisive. The Italian managed only sporadic resistance in the second set before capitulating. Sabalenka's dominant display confirms her status as a primary contender for the title and sets up a favourable path through the early rounds.