Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaOpen full analysisMccartney KesslerOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR64Saturday, March 8, 2025
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 71%29% Kessler
1.36Recorded odds3.39
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSMccartney Kessler
7Set 16
6Set 23

Aryna Sabalenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaMccartney Kessler
70%
Career Win %
33%
74%
Win % on Hard
38%
77%
Holds Serve
57%
34%
Breaks Serve
24%
62%
1st Serve In
64%
68%
1st Serve Won
60%
43%
Return Pts Won
39%
4.5
Aces / match
1.5
81%
Tiebreak %
67%
44%
Deciding-set %
50%
1790
Rating
1484
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka57 serves
Where they place their serve
Mccartney Kessler75 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
18%Body
7%T
9%T
0%Body
39%Wide
33%Wide
9%Body
11%T
4%T
12%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide39%
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Mccartney Kessler 7–6, 6–3 at Indian Wells in the first round on hard court. The result confirmed pre-match expectations, as Sabalenka entered as the clear favourite at 1.36 odds against Kessler's 3.39. The Belarusian required a tiebreak to secure the opening set before asserting control in the second, closing out the match decisively. The victory maintains Sabalenka's early-season momentum at the Masters 1000 event.