Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaOpen full analysisSorana CirsteaOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardR16Wednesday, January 7, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 81%19% Cirstea
1.17Recorded odds5.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSSorana Cirstea
6Set 13
6Set 23

Aryna Sabalenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaSorana Cirstea
70%
Career Win %
48%
74%
Win % on Hard
58%
77%
Holds Serve
66%
34%
Breaks Serve
34%
62%
1st Serve In
61%
68%
1st Serve Won
64%
43%
Return Pts Won
44%
4.5
Aces / match
3.1
81%
Tiebreak %
56%
44%
Deciding-set %
30%
1790
Rating
1622
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka48 serves
Where they place their serve
Sorana Cirstea68 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
21%Body
8%T
12%T
8%Body
27%Wide
13%Wide
25%Body
12%T
13%T
13%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Body25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sorana Cirstea 6–3, 6–3 in the round of 16 at the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court on 7 January 2026, confirming her status as the strong pre-match favourite with odds of 1.17 to Cirstea's 5.05. The Belarusian produced a composed performance to advance, dropping only six games across two sets against her Romanian opponent. The decisive victory demonstrates Sabalenka's continued dominance early in the season and sets up her progression through Brisbane's draw.