Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaOpen full analysisVictoria MbokoOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardQFThursday, March 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 73%27% Mboko
1.29Recorded odds3.56
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSVictoria Mboko
7Set 16
6Set 24

Aryna Sabalenka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaVictoria Mboko
70%
Career Win %
62%
74%
Win % on Hard
61%
77%
Holds Serve
69%
34%
Breaks Serve
35%
62%
1st Serve In
65%
68%
1st Serve Won
67%
43%
Return Pts Won
44%
4.5
Aces / match
4.1
81%
Tiebreak %
50%
44%
Deciding-set %
100%
1790
Rating
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka83 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Mboko79 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
23%Body
11%T
12%T
11%Body
27%Wide
27%Wide
9%Body
14%T
16%T
10%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Victoria Mboko 7–6, 6–4 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.29 to Mboko's 3.56. The Belarusian secured a tight opening set via tiebreak before extending her advantage in the second, where a single break proved decisive. Sabalenka's victory advances her towards the latter stages of the Masters 1000 event and maintains her momentum in the early months of the season.