Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ashlyn KruegerOpen full analysisElena RybakinaOpen full analysis

MiamihardR64Thursday, March 20, 2025
No-vig market probability
Krueger 25%75% Rybakina
3.95Recorded odds1.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ashlyn KruegerVSElena Rybakina
6Set 14
2Set 26
6Set 34

Ashlyn Krueger won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ashlyn KruegerElena Rybakina
52%
Career Win %
78%
48%
Win % on Hard
80%
68%
Holds Serve
81%
30%
Breaks Serve
35%
67%
1st Serve In
58%
64%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
44%
4.0
Aces / match
6.4
60%
Tiebreak %
57%
57%
Deciding-set %
60%
1496
Rating
1954
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ashlyn Krueger83 serves
Where they place their serve
Elena Rybakina74 serves
Where they place their serve
29%Wide
14%Body
10%T
28%T
11%Body
8%Wide
24%Wide
14%Body
14%T
8%T
9%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Elena Rybakina 6–4, 2–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Miami Masters 1000 on hard court. The result represented a significant upset, as Rybakina entered as the heavy favourite at 1.29 odds, while Krueger was priced at 3.95. After losing the second set, Krueger recovered to claim the opening and decisive third sets, demonstrating composure under pressure against one of the tour's top players. The American's victory over the seeded Russian marks a notable scalp at the Miami event and suggests strong form heading into the tournament's later stages.