Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Bernard TomicOpen full analysisPaolo LorenziOpen full analysis

QuitoclayQFFriday, February 5, 2016
No-vig market probability
Tomic 54%46% Lorenzi
1.83Recorded odds2.12
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Bernard TomicVSPaolo Lorenzi
7Set 16
5Set 27
3Set 36

Paolo Lorenzi won the match

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Bernard Tomic100 serves
Where they place their serve
Paolo Lorenzi106 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
6%Body
18%T
13%T
3%Body
32%Wide
25%Wide
14%Body
14%T
21%T
5%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide32%
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Paolo Lorenzi defeated Bernard Tomic 6–7, 7–5, 6–3 in the quarter-final of the ATP 250 event in Quito on clay on 5 February 2016, delivering an upset against the pre-match favourite. Tomic, seeded as the stronger player at odds of 1.83, lost momentum after a competitive opening set that went to a tie-break. Lorenzi, at 2.12 odds, seized control in the second set, breaking serve to edge ahead before consolidating with a decisive third set to advance to the semi-finals. The result marked a significant turnaround for the Italian, who recovered from a set down to secure a valuable clay-court victory against a higher-ranked opponent.