Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaOpen full analysisDaniil MedvedevOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardFSunday, January 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 24%76% Medvedev
4.01Recorded odds1.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSDaniil Medvedev
2Set 16
6Set 27

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaDaniil Medvedev
41%
Career Win %
69%
50%
Win % on Hard
70%
85%
Holds Serve
85%
15%
Breaks Serve
25%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
74%
1st Serve Won
75%
34%
Return Pts Won
39%
9.2
Aces / match
8.4
36%
Tiebreak %
52%
44%
Deciding-set %
56%
1593
Rating
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima53 serves
Where they place their serve
Daniil Medvedev73 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
2%Body
28%T
13%T
2%Body
32%Wide
30%Wide
1%Body
21%T
27%T
1%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide32%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–2, 7–6 in the Brisbane final on hard court, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.29 to Nakashima's 4.01. Medvedev controlled the opening set decisively, then weathered a competitive second-set tiebreak to secure the ATP 250 title. The Russian's composure in the closing stages proved decisive against an opponent seeking his maiden ATP crown. This victory underscores Medvedev's continued consistency at the start of the season and maintains his position among the tour's elite performers.