Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaOpen full analysisJesper De JongOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR128Sunday, August 24, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 75%25% Jong
1.30Recorded odds3.85
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSJesper De Jong
6Set 12
6Set 27
2Set 36
6Set 42
7Set 56

Brandon Nakashima won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaJesper De Jong
41%
Career Win %
50%
50%
Win % on Hard
48%
85%
Holds Serve
79%
15%
Breaks Serve
22%
64%
1st Serve In
58%
74%
1st Serve Won
72%
34%
Return Pts Won
38%
9.2
Aces / match
8.2
36%
Tiebreak %
47%
44%
Deciding-set %
78%
1593
Rating
1499
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima149 serves
Where they place their serve
Jesper De Jong147 serves
Where they place their serve
26%Wide
11%Body
15%T
15%T
9%Body
23%Wide
18%Wide
14%Body
21%T
17%T
12%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
Top targetDeuce · T21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jesper De Jong 6–2, 6–7, 2–6, 6–2, 7–6 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 24 August 2025, as expected given his pre-match favourite status at odds of 1.3. De Jong, the underdog at 3.85, mounted a competitive challenge, winning the third set decisively and pushing the American to a deciding fifth set before Nakashima prevailed in the tiebreak. The match saw momentum shift across its five sets, with Nakashima dominating the opening and fourth sets whilst De Jong capitalised on opportunities in the middle stages. Nakashima's comeback from a set down and his composure in the final tiebreak underscore his ability to navigate challenging matches at the Grand Slam level, securing his progression to the second round.